March stock market rally

Every once in a while, stock market bulls catch a break where technicals, fundamentals and market psychology all fall into line.

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This week may be one of those rare times when the planets are aligned, analysts said. For the technically-minded, Frank Cappelleri, executive director at Instinet LLC, may have the most encouraging chart of the day.

On Monday, the large-cap index had its best day since March 1 as investors welcomed the French election results. That tends to signal near term weakness and the market subsequently fell 1. But as far as red flags go, this one bodes well for the market as stocks tend to rally in the months following the breach.

Seasonality may also supportive, at least in the short term. The mood in the market is also much more confident this week, which analysts credit to the strong showing by centrist Emmanuel Macron in the French election.

Macron will face National Front leader Marine Le Pen, a favorite of the far right, in the runoff on May 7. There were fears going into the election over the weekend of a worst-case scenario where two euroskeptics—Le Pen and far-left candidate Jean Luc Melenchon—could emerge as forerunners to contest the presidency.

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Back in the U. There is also the possibility of a government shutdown this weekend if politicians are unable to reach a deal on a spending bill. And just as for the positive thesis, one cannot ignore seasonality for the negative scenario as it will soon be that time of the year when investors like to dump stocks and check out for the summer. Sue Chang is a MarketWatch reporter in San Francisco. You can follow her on Twitter at SueChangMW. By using this site you agree to the Terms of Service , Privacy Policy , and Cookie Policy.

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This chart shows why the stock-market rally should survive the Ides of March - MarketWatch

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